The latest 0z model runs suggest the greatest (low but non-zero) tornado threat is now across the plateau with mostly strong to severe storms elsewhere. The trouble is really coming in with the fact that morning rain possibly won’t clear fast enough for the development of storms. In that case, this will be a mostly sub-severe event. Strong gusty winds are still possible however with or without support due to the jetstream set up across the area. This now looks like a mostly rain event for NETN/SWVA. CAPE should remain generally around 700-1,300 J/kg area-wide.
Overall the risk is low-med. It really all depends on the morning convection. This is a hard forecast.