The SPC has issued a Marginal (1/5) risk for severe weather Tuesday. A supportive environment will move into place around 12-1 PM with CAPE values in the 1,500-3,000 J/kg range by 2 PM. Shear will be supportive enough according to the latest models – greatly around 3-4 PM with the side of supportive updrafts for large hail (1″+). Temperatures aloft along with the storm development will be supportive for significant lightning with isolated cells and damaging winds (40-60 MPH). The only issue will be the CAP, will it erode before the convection. Overall the storms will remain isolated but if you have outdoor plans, make sure you have a plan B.